DZ20220119

 

*Key points

 

PBoC Supports

*Vice head of PBoC pledged to 1)open monetary policy tool box wider and maintain stable aggregate money supply and avoid credit collapse; 2) adopt precise measures in active manner with economic structure optimized; 3) operate with foresight, make preemptive moves and stay ahead of the market curve to stabilize economic growth.

*Vice head of PBoC said to strengthen supports on real economy, tech innovation and green development in 2022 with stable growth of aggregate monetary credit to be maintained and corporate financing cost to be cut. Fluctuation of currency exchanges is normal with no side appreciation expected. Housing sales, land purchase and financing of real estate sector been back to normal status in recent days. Macro leverage ratio down for 5th quarter in a row with potential room created for future monetary policy.

 

Industrial Economy

*The State Council issued development plan of modern comprehensive transportation system during the 14th FY which pointed out to realize over 95% coverage of high-speed railway network on cities with population over 500k and integrated transportation network of major city cluster to be formed up.

*MIIT said to clarify supporting policies on preferential tax extension on NEV purchase with tech and industrial breakthrough to speed up in power battery, operation system and car chips.

*The State Council state-owned reform leadership group held conference on Jan 17th which emphasized 2022 as the last year of 3-year action of state-owned enterprise reform with major tasks to be completed in high quality and weak links to be repaired.

 

Co Focus

*Shangfeng Cement (000672 CH) said on the investor interactive platform that co face no account receivable and large bad debt provision from real estate firms given no direct sales to terminal users.

 

*Block Trade Info

 

*Discount

-Hile Bio-Tech (688488 CH) saw 5 block trade worth 108mn at 14.09yuan per share, 7pct premium from last closing.

-Midea Group (000333 CH) saw 1 block trade worth 85mn at 73.3 yuan per share, 0.00pct discount from last closing.

-Milkyway (603713 CH) saw 3 block trade worth 29mn at 124.76 yuan per share, 8.6pct discount from last closing.

-Haitian Flavouring (603288 CH) saw 2 block trade worth 78mn at 92.47yuan per share, 10.86pct discount from last closing.

- Century Huatong (002602 CH) saw 1 block trade worth 5.4mn at 8.14yuan per share, 0.00pct discount from last closing.

- Aerospace CH UAV (002389 CH) saw 2 block trade worth 69mn at 21.1uan per share,12.48pct discount from last closing.

- Amer New Material (002201 CH) saw 2 block trade worth 76mn at 18.02/17.93yuan per share, 2.49/2.98 pct discount from last closing.

- Wingtech Tech (600745 CH) saw 1 block trade worth 101mn at 119 yuan per share, 1.72pct discount from last closing.

Premium

- Sichuan Road&Bridge (600039 CH) saw 1 block trade worth 5.6mn at 11.14yuan per share, 4.7pct premium from last closing.

*Margin Trade

Total Margin Balance

1.7020 trillion

Total Short Selling Balance

110 billion

SH Margin Balance

0.8952 trillion

SH Short Selling Balance

69.8billion

Top Five Margin Trade Net Bought (in CNY)

Top Five Short Selling Net Sold (in shares)

600021

188mio

601988

9.24mio

601669

187mio

601818

7.36mio

600315

186mio

600157

6.31mio

603077

151mio

601985

5.87mio

600986

142mio

600028

4.5mio

SZ Margin Balance

0.8068 trillion

SZ Short Selling Balance

40.4 billion

Top Five Margin Trade Net Bought (in CNY)

Top Five Short Selling Net Sold (in shares)

300750

477mio

000158

4.65mio

002405

145mio

002610

2.6mio

300182

100mio

000901

2.4mio

002414

98.64mio

300015

2.1mio

000034

94mio

300059

2mio

*Connection Trade

SH-HK Connection (bn cny)

SZ-HK Connection (bn cny)

Northbound Net Cash Flow

+4.3

Northbound Net Cash Flow

-2

Southbound Net Cash Flow

+1

Southbound Net Cash Flow

+1.2

Top 5 Northbound Inflow

Top 5 Northbound Outflow

Name

Market Value (mio cny)

‰ out of ttl share outstanding

Name

Market Value (mio cny)

‰ out of ttl share outstanding

600036

613

0.5

601888

365

0.98

600519

611

0.26

000651

265

1.17

000977

356

6.93

000858

225

0.28

601919

339

1.71

603077

220

6.58

300124

338

2.35

600570

217

2.54

*Index Futures

Position of Top 20 members (Unit lots)

CSI 300 Index Futures

Trading Volume

Change*

Long OI

Change*

Short OI

Change*

IF2201

79,353

7,323

36,591

-2,870

37,994

-4,125

IF2202

17,564

7,138

13,698

3,903

13,500

3,807

IF2203

34,396

7,978

54,780

2,053

73,072

1,014

IF2206

8,629

3,097

29,539

473

38,605

867

SSE 50 Index Futures

Trading Volume

Change*

Long OI

Change*

Short OI

Change*

IH2201

58,865

17,021

26,419

-1,307

28,791

-1,658

IH2202

13,264

4,477

9,201

1,944

10,411

2,318

IH2203

23,042

7,305

31,571

1,567

39,920

1,580

IH2206

7,230

1,729

14,592

338

22,161

705

CSI 500 Index Futures

Trading Volume

Change*

Long OI

Change*

Short OI

Change*

IC2201

62,081

-4,525

42,923

-7,604

41,815

-7,712

IC2202

18,463

2,915

26,584

4,458

24,750

4,177

IC2203

28,557

-3,346

71,329

-582

85,567

15

IC2206

10,856

-2,741

60,115

963

78,523

1,068

*Index Options

Position of Top 20 members (Unit lots)

CSI 300 Index Options

Trading Volume

Change*

Long OI

Change*

Short OI

Change*

IO2201

183761

33842

69789

-7207

80241

-8745

IO2202

48834

11640

43678

5091

43244

4558

*Treasury Futures

Position of Top 20 members (Unit lots)

2-Year Treasury Bond Futures

Trading Volume

Change*

Long OI

Change*

Short OI

Change*

TS2203

30,255

-9,128

40,989

1,896

45,488

2,248

5-Year Treasury Bond Futures

Trading Volume

Change*

Long OI

Change*

Short OI

Change*

TF2203

65,029

-2,817

68,885

1,905

76,085

2,786

10-Year Treasury Bond Futures

Trading Volume

Change*

Long OI

Change*

Short OI

Change*

T2203

113,639

-12,470

120,749

861

132,096

3,590

T2206

11,110

-1,877

13,691

985

12,761

678

*Night Session Commodities Market (As of 02:30 am)

Top 3 Gainers (Dominant Contract)

Product

Contract

Price

Change %

Trading Volume

Open Interests

Thermal Coal

zc205

759.0

+4.46%

7,831

29,689

Iron Ore

i2205

735.0

+4.26%

362,110

615,329

Methanol

ma205

2,824.0

+4.09%

564,081

880,121

Top 3 Loser (Dominant Contract)

Product

Contract

Price

Change %

Trading Volume

Open Interests

Stainless Steel

ss2202

17,630.0

-1.37%

48,140

37,311

No.2 Soybeans

b2202

4,308.0

-1.35%

11,589

15,452

Rapeseed Meal

rm205

2,841.0

-1.08%

230,171

462,302

 

Commodities (night session):

* OPEC forecasts robust demand for crude oil in 2022. Multiple factors are disturbing oil supply, whereas the rise of demand was not heavily affected by the spread of Omicron, global crude oil price rose collectively. March NYMEX crude oil contract up 3.11% to closed at $85.89/b, March Brent contract up 2.32% to closed at $88.49/b, the highest since 2014. INE crude oil active contract up 0.71% to closed at 540.1 yuan/b.

*Regarding to the monthly FOMC meeting, market expects interest rate to rise 25 bps, USD and US bond yield rise collectively, which tames the uptrend of gold. COMEX gold active contract closed at $1813.4/oz (down 0.17%), SHFE gold active contract closed at 373.36 yuan/gram (down 0.15%).

* Metals mostly closed up. LME aluminum rose 0.77%, copper down 0.56%, tin rose 2.43%. SHFE aluminum up 1.25%, copper down 0.23%, bonded copper down 0.29%, tin up 1.32%.

* Commodity futures mostly closed up, Energy & chemistry futures performed strong, methanol up 4.09%, glass up 3.88%, bitumen up 3.51%. Black series rose collectively, thermal coal up 4.46%, iron ore up 4.26%. Agriculture futures saw diverge performance, RBD palm olein up 1.16%, cotton up 1.01%, No.2 soybeans down 1.35%.

 

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The report is issued by Orient Securities Co. LTD (Orient Securities) and Shanghai Orient Futures Co. LTD (Orient Futures) to institutional investors. Opinions expressed may differ from those of other divisions of Orient Securities, including Orient Securities Research Institute. Orient Securities may trade as principal in instruments identified herein and may accumulate/have accumulated a long or short position in instruments or derivatives thereof. Orient Securities has policies designed to negate conflicts of interest. This e-mail is not an official confirmation of terms and unless stated, is not a recommendation, offer or solicitation to buy or sell. Any prices or quotations contained herein are indicative only. Communications may be monitored.